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  1. OPEC+ agrees in principle to keep December oil output targets steady
    OPEC+ has agreed in principle to keep its December oil output targets unchanged, three people familiar with the matter told Reuters on Oct. 31, ahead of a Sunday online meeting of seven core members: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan and Oman.
    · Geopolitics · Brief
  2. Qatari mediators held talks in Tehran aimed at restarting direct U.S.-Iran negotiations, source says
    CNBC reported on Sat Oct 31, 8:47 AM CT, unconfirmed by other outlets so far: Qatari mediators held talks in Tehran aimed at restarting direct U.S.-Iran negotiations, source says.
    · Geopolitics · Brief
  3. Trump administration reportedly warns Gulf allies to prepare for U.S. strikes on Iran as early as Nov 4
    The Trump administration has reportedly warned Gulf allies to prepare for short, intense US strikes on Iran as early as November 4, one day after the midterms, according to MS NOW.
    · Geopolitics
  4. The US now has more than 80 refueling aircraft stationed in Israel, Israel's Channel 14 reports
    Tankers are what long-range strikes run on.
    · Geopolitics
  5. The US has ordered non-emergency staff to leave Saudi Arabia over security risks, Reuters reports
    It comes the same day a Houthi ballistic missile aimed at southern Saudi Arabia was intercepted and Iranian state media reported a fourth tanker hit by a mine in the Strait of
    · Geopolitics
  6. Trump on Iran: "There are talks."
    Same afternoon, Iranian reports say a fourth tanker accused of breaking IRGC rules blew up in the Strait of Hormuz, and Brent settled at $117.64.
    · Geopolitics
  7. Iran's Revolutionary Guard says its air defenses shot down and seized a US MQM-170 reconnaissance drone
    Iran's Revolutionary Guard says its air defenses shot down and seized a US MQM-170 reconnaissance drone over Qeshm Island, per Iranian state TV.
    · Geopolitics
  8. Pakistan's military says it is "cautiously optimistic" about mediating between the US and Iran
    Pakistan's military says it is "cautiously optimistic" about mediating between the US and Iran, but warns of "powerful spoilers," after army chief Asim Munir's second trip to Tehran this month.
    · Geopolitics
  9. Vessel struck by unknown projectile 40 nautical miles south of Iran's Lavan Island, UKMTO says
    A vessel was struck by an unknown projectile 40 nautical miles south of Iran's Lavan Island, the UK maritime agency UKMTO said.
    · Geopolitics
  10. A US Treasury report says the American blockade and sanctions are crippling Iran's economy, Axios reports
    It fits what officials told Axios this morning: the push on Iran is economic pressure for now, with strikes floated for after the midterms.
    · Geopolitics
  11. The Trump administration has awarded contracts for nearly 41M barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve
    The Trump administration has awarded contracts for nearly 41 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, completing a massive oil exchange meant to curb energy prices after the war with Iran, per Bloomberg.
    · Geopolitics
  12. CENTCOM's Adm. Brad Cooper on Friday: "Iran's Navy is all at the bottom of the sea."
    On Thursday, a small boat pulled up to the tanker Louise 1 near Hormuz and fixed two explosives to its hull.
    · Geopolitics
  13. The tanker hit in the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday was the Panama-flagged Louise 1
    The tanker hit in the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday was the Panama-flagged Louise 1, and maritime security sources told Reuters it was struck with limpet mines, the first successful use of them since the US war with Iran began in February.
    · Geopolitics
  14. U.S. officials say 20+ person Iran meeting focused on a blockade and economic pressure, not strikes
    US officials say yesterday's 20+ person Iran meeting focused on a blockade and economic pressure, not strikes, Axios' Barak Ravid reports.
    · Geopolitics
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